Kedus Giorgis 1-2 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.75
Over 2.5
36%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.8pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
53%
+10.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
47%
-10.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.5pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 15%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+150% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
230 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 165 · 61%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1-2
AWAY Awassa Kenema
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema squeezed past Kedus Giorgis 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Kedus Giorgis carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 50% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 50%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Awassa Kenema?

Kedus Giorgis 1-2 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 55%, draw 27%, Awassa Kenema 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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