Mekelakeya 3-1 Wolkite Ketema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.45
Over 2.5
50%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.75
No
59%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-2.0pp
18%
Draw
25%
-7.4pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
65%
-15.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
35%
+15.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.2pp
59%
BTTS No
68%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolkite Ketema EU Bookmakers 18%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.86
-41% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
3-1
AWAY Wolkite Ketema
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Wolkite Ketema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya beat Wolkite Ketema 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mekelakeya as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 45% of the ball to Wolkite Ketema's 55%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Wolkite Ketema?

Mekelakeya 3-1 Wolkite Ketema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Wolkite Ketema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 58%, draw 18%, Wolkite Ketema 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✗ BTTS No
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