Gnistan 0-3 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 5 May 2024

Gnistan
0-3 HT 0-2
Haka
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

Gnistan vs Haka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.48
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
12%
5.49
X/2
10%
5.83
X/X
15%
4.87
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
16%
3.79
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gnistan v Haka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
0.28/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.35
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
4.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.0 Crosses 15.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Gnistan vs Haka Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Haka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
The Meetings
08.09.2017 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN2
19.07.2017 Haka Haka 2-1 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
17.05.2017 Gnistan Gnistan 0-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN2

Gnistan 0-3 Haka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
0-3
AWAY Haka
1.11 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
430 Passes 330
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 26
29 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka swept aside Gnistan 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Haka found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gnistan had 56% of the ball to Haka's 44%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.11 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Haka led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gnistan and 1.67 for Haka.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs Haka?

Gnistan 0-3 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 36%, draw 30%, Haka 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gnistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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