IFK Mariehamn 3-1 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.13
6+ Goals
6%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 37% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.06
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
14%
7.64
X/2
18%
4.28
X/X
17%
4.24
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.68
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-10.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.4pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 51%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
0.74/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.15
-27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 79%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Inter Turku
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.71 xG 1.99
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
232 Passes 279
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
30.07.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
22.05.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
04.02.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
04.09.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-3 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
29.04.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 4-0 HT 4-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
3-1
AWAY Inter Turku
0.68 xG 2.67
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
201 Passes 465
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn got the better of Inter Turku 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day IFK Mariehamn made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 34% of the ball to Inter Turku's 66%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.68 to 2.67 — the balance of chances actually favoured Inter Turku.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.83 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Inter Turku?

IFK Mariehamn 3-1 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 34%, draw 29%, Inter Turku 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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