Inter Turku 0-2 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 3 Feb 2024

Inter Turku
0-2 HT 0-1
IFK Mariehamn
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - League Cup – 2024

Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.13
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.0
X/1
15%
3.94
X/2
10%
9.38
X/X
13%
5.57
2/1
8%
21.75
2/2
10%
7.03
2/X
7%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Turku v IFK Mariehamn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 29%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.00
+79% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
5W-1D-0L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.99 xG 0.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
279 Passes 232
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.07.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
22.05.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
04.02.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
04.09.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-3 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
29.04.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 4-0 HT 4-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
11.02.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn got the better of Inter Turku 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Turku at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Inter Turku and 0.67 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn?

Inter Turku 0-2 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - League Cup on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 45%, draw 29%, IFK Mariehamn 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Inter Turku) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FLK More Finland - League Cup
3 Feb 2024
14:30 FC Lahti vs EIF Analysis →
15:00 Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki Analysis →
15:45 Ilves Tampere vs VPS Analysis →
15:45 SJK Seinajoki vs Oulu Analysis →