Ilves Tampere 3-1 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 3 Feb 2024

Ilves Tampere
3-1 HT 2-1
VPS
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - League Cup – 2024

Ilves Tampere vs VPS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.12
6+ Goals
12%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.75
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
12%
13.65
X/1
13%
5.32
X/2
11%
5.31
X/X
12%
4.44
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
10%
3.73
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ilves Tampere v VPS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 30%
-63% / -63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.83/2.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.00
+52% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 188 · 63%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards –

Ilves Tampere vs VPS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VPS
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
272 Passes 432
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.07.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-2 HT 0-2 VPS VPS FİN
26.05.2023 VPS VPS 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
18.02.2023 VPS VPS 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
18.09.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-3 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
06.08.2022 VPS VPS 3-0 HT 3-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
23.04.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 2-1 VPS VPS FİN
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere beat VPS 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.67 for VPS.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs VPS?

Ilves Tampere 3-1 VPS in the Finland - League Cup on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 43%, draw 31%, VPS 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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