FC Lahti 2-1 EIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 3 Feb 2024

FC Lahti
2-1 HT 0-1
EIF
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.02
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
14%
4.77
X/2
8%
6.44
X/X
14%
4.64
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.6
2/X
5%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.0 — our 9% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY EIF EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
2-1
AWAY EIF
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs EIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti edged past EIF 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day FC Lahti made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, FC Lahti had 51% of the ball to EIF's 49%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs EIF?

FC Lahti 2-1 EIF in the Finland - League Cup on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs EIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 40%, draw 26%, EIF 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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