SJK Seinajoki 0-2 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 27% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.92
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
22%
4.67
X/2
12%
6.66
X/X
10%
4.63
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
10%
4.81
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-14.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+13.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 20%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.20
+141% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
395 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Oulu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.95 xG 1.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 Passes 387
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-2 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
27.06.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-4 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
17.05.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-4 HT 0-2 Oulu Oulu FİK
29.04.2023 Oulu Oulu 0-3 HT 0-2 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
18.02.2023 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-2 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
19.10.2022 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu beat SJK Seinajoki 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SJK Seinajoki at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 2.17 for Oulu.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs Oulu?

SJK Seinajoki 0-2 Oulu in the Finland - League Cup on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 48%, draw 23%, Oulu 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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