Baroka 2-0 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

Baroka
2-0 HT 1-0
Marumo Gallants
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Afrika - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Baroka vs Marumo Gallants Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baroka v Marumo Gallants — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baroka EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.66/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.73
+31% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Baroka vs Marumo Gallants Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baroka
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.56 xG 1.55
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
218 Passes 460
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
27.10.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-1 HT 1-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
09.04.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-0 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF8K
02.03.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 3-0 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAFPSL
21.08.2021 Baroka Baroka 2-0 HT 2-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
18.05.2021 Baroka Baroka 0-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
22.11.2020 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-0 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAFPSL
POST-MATCH Baroka vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baroka saw off Marumo Gallants 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Baroka as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marumo Gallants led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Baroka and 1.00 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Baroka vs Marumo Gallants?

Baroka 2-0 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baroka vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baroka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Baroka 46%, draw 31%, Marumo Gallants 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baroka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baroka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAF1 More South Afrika - 1st Division
5 May 2024
16:00 Maritzburg United vs Hungry Lions Analysis →
16:00 Pretoria Callies vs Venda FC Analysis →
16:00 JDR Stars vs Orbit College Analysis →
16:00 Casric Stars vs Platinum City Rovers Analysis →