Pretoria Callies 0-3 Venda FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pretoria Callies EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Venda FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -10%
0.68/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.21
-47% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pretoria Callies
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Venda FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
7 Corners 6
16.09.2023 Venda FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies GAF1
01.04.2023 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies 1-0 HT 1-0 Venda FC GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pretoria Callies
0-3
AWAY Venda FC
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pretoria Callies vs Venda FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venda FC ran out comfortable winners over Pretoria Callies 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Venda FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pretoria Callies had 54% of the ball to Venda FC's 46%, shots finished 19-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pretoria Callies had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pretoria Callies and 0.50 for Venda FC.

What was the final score of Pretoria Callies vs Venda FC?

Pretoria Callies 0-3 Venda FC in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pretoria Callies vs Venda FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pretoria Callies win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pretoria Callies 38%, draw 32%, Venda FC 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pretoria Callies), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pretoria Callies) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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