Changwon City 3-0 Mokpo City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
42%
-10.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.23/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.71
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mokpo City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.03.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GKOK
09.09.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 4-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
12.05.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
21.08.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
08.07.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-2 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
22.04.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Mokpo City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City cruised past Mokpo City 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Changwon City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Changwon City and 1.00 for Mokpo City.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Mokpo City?

Changwon City 3-0 Mokpo City in the South Kore - K3 League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Mokpo City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mokpo City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 31%, draw 29%, Mokpo City 40%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mokpo City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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