Changwon City 0-1 Mokpo City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
45%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
45%
Away Win
57%
-12.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 61%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-3% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +0%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mokpo City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
09.09.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 4-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
12.05.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
21.08.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
08.07.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-2 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
22.04.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
25.03.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 3-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Mokpo City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mokpo City edged past Changwon City 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mokpo City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Changwon City and 0.83 for Mokpo City.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Mokpo City?

Changwon City 0-1 Mokpo City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Mokpo City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mokpo City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 28%, draw 27%, Mokpo City 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mokpo City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mokpo City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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