Jinju Citizen 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jinju Citizen EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Jinju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jinju Citizen squeezed past Asan Mugunghwa 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Asan Mugunghwa at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Jinju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Jinju Citizen 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jinju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Jinju Citizen 27%, draw 19%, Asan Mugunghwa 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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