23/03/2024
·
08:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Pocheon vs Seongnam Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
32%
Draw
27%
32%
Away Win
45%
63%
Under 2.5
55%
37%
Over 2.5
45%
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
50%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pocheon v Seongnam — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pocheon
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Seongnam
EU Bookmakers 49%
-26% /
-26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-13% /
-13%
0.42/1.58
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.82/0.59
-67%
/
-20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-43%
/
+81%
42%
Ball Possession
58%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
5
234 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
433 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.9
–
Crosses
10.2
–
Yellow Cards
1.6
POST-MATCH
Pocheon vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Seongnam swept aside Pocheon 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Seongnam made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Pocheon vs Seongnam?
Pocheon 0-3 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pocheon vs Seongnam?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pocheon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pocheon 36%, draw 32%, Seongnam 32%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Pocheon)
✗ Under 2.5
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23 Mar 2024