Pyeongtaek Citizen 1-5 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
41%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
19%
+12.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
41%
Away Win
58%
-17.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyeongtaek Citizen EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 62%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+95% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyeongtaek Citizen
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Gimhae City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
06.11.2021 Pyeongtaek Citizen 2-3 HT 1-2 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
13.06.2021 Gimhae City Gimhae City 3-1 HT 2-0 Pyeongtaek Citizen GK3L
25.07.2020 Gimhae City Gimhae City 5-0 HT 2-0 Pyeongtaek Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City cruised past Pyeongtaek Citizen 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gimhae City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gimhae City led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pyeongtaek Citizen and 3.67 for Gimhae City.

What was the final score of Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Gimhae City?

Pyeongtaek Citizen 1-5 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pyeongtaek Citizen 31%, draw 28%, Gimhae City 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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