Paju Citizen 0-1 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+11.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
46%
-11.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+70% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC edged past Paju Citizen 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Gyeongnam FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Gyeongnam FC?

Paju Citizen 0-1 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Classic on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 38%, draw 27%, Gyeongnam FC 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✗ Over 2.5
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