Municipal 3-0 CSD Comunicaciones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.13
No
46%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.2pp
46%
BTTS No
57%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CSD Comunicaciones EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.87/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.59
+17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CSD Comunicaciones
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.05.2024 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
18.04.2024 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.11.2023 Municipal Municipal 0-2 HT 0-1 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones GUAT
07.05.2023 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
05.03.2023 Municipal Municipal 3-3 HT 2-2 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones GUAT
30.10.2022 Municipal Municipal 2-3 HT 1-2 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
3-0
AWAY CSD Comunicaciones
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal vs CSD Comunicaciones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal cruised past CSD Comunicaciones 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Municipal had 53% of the ball to CSD Comunicaciones's 47%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSD Comunicaciones led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Municipal and 1.50 for CSD Comunicaciones.

What was the final score of Municipal vs CSD Comunicaciones?

Municipal 3-0 CSD Comunicaciones in the Guatemala - National League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs CSD Comunicaciones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Municipal 45%, draw 28%, CSD Comunicaciones 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
5 May 2024
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