Antigua GFC 1-0 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
2.06/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.34
+19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mixco
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.05.2024 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
22.02.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
28.01.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
05.10.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-2 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
06.08.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
20.04.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua GFC
1-0
AWAY Mixco
73% Ball Possession 27%
23 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC edged past Mixco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Antigua GFC had 73% of the ball to Mixco's 27%, shots finished 23-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.00 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Mixco?

Antigua GFC 1-0 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 49%, draw 25%, Mixco 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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