Sporting San Jose 1-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.81
No
60%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.0pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 61%
+15% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.24/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.22
+7% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting San Jose
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
09.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-2 HT 0-2 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
06.08.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
30.03.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
30.01.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-1 HT 3-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
04.09.2022 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-1 HT 1-1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting San Jose
1-1
AWAY Alajuelense
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting San Jose vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting San Jose and Alajuelense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alajuelense at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Sporting San Jose had 39% of the ball to Alajuelense's 61%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting San Jose and 1.17 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Sporting San Jose vs Alajuelense?

Sporting San Jose 1-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting San Jose vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sporting San Jose 23%, draw 26%, Alajuelense 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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5 May 2024
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