JFK Ventspils 2-0 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

JFK Ventspils
2-0 HT 1-0
Smiltene
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.5pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JFK Ventspils v Smiltene — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 21%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.83
-54% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
402 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Smiltene
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 3
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Smiltene Smiltene 1-1 HT 0-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
29.04.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 0-1 HT 0-1 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils beat Smiltene 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had JFK Ventspils as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Smiltene led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for JFK Ventspils and 1.00 for Smiltene.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?

JFK Ventspils 2-0 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 54%, draw 28%, Smiltene 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JFK Ventspils) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET1 More Latvia - 1st Division
5 May 2024
17:00 Tukums II vs Marupe Analysis →