Tukums II 0-1 Marupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.9pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Marupe EU Bookmakers 23%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tukums II vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marupe nicked a narrow win over Tukums II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tukums II at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs Marupe?

Tukums II 0-1 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs Marupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tukums II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 53%, draw 19%, Marupe 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tukums II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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