Valmiera / BSS 2-0 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
53%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 62%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.36/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.53
+7% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
230 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.6
16.0 Crosses 30.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valmiera / BSS
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.88
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
251 Passes 334
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 35
19 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 0-1 HT 0-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
02.09.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-0 HT 1-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
25.06.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-0 HT 1-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
04.05.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-1 HT 1-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
11.03.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 0-0 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
30.10.2022 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 1-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valmiera / BSS
2-0
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.50 xG 2.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
242 Passes 322
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 44
22 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valmiera / BSS vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS saw off Rigas Skola 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rigas Skola at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Valmiera / BSS had 44% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 56%, shots finished 14-28, expected goals 1.50 to 2.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Rigas Skola.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valmiera / BSS and 1.00 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs Rigas Skola?

Valmiera / BSS 2-0 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 22%, draw 25%, Rigas Skola 53%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rigas Skola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ BTTS No
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