Auda 1-2 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 5 May 2024

Auda
1-2 HT 0-0
Riga FC
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 58%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.00/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.14
+11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -24%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
207 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
Crosses 21.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Riga FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.45 xG 2.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
275 Passes 395
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 42
9 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
30.09.2023 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
21.08.2023 Auda Auda 0-4 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LETK
08.07.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
16.05.2023 Auda Auda 0-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
06.04.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
1-2
AWAY Riga FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Auda vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC edged past Auda 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Auda had 46% of the ball to Riga FC's 54%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Auda and 1.83 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Auda vs Riga FC?

Auda 1-2 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Auda 29%, draw 26%, Riga FC 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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