Riga FC 1-0 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 16 Mar 2024

Riga FC
1-0 HT 0-0
Auda
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
25%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
71%
-22.2pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.7pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+13.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.85/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.72
+17% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +58%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
50.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.8
29.6 Crosses 13.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Auda
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.54 xG 0.47
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
405 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
47 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
21.08.2023 Auda Auda 0-4 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LETK
08.07.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
16.05.2023 Auda Auda 0-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
06.04.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
29.10.2022 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
1-0
AWAY Auda
1.50 xG 0.35
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
356 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC edged past Auda 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Riga FC had 54% of the ball to Auda's 46%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.50 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Riga FC and 0.00 for Auda.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Auda?

Riga FC 1-0 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 49%, draw 26%, Auda 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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