BFC Daugavpils 2-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.6pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 32%
+26% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+73% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Daugavpils
2-0
AWAY Grobina
1.09 xG 2.42
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
243 Passes 423
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Daugavpils saw off Grobina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day BFC Daugavpils made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 40% of the ball to Grobina's 60%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.09 to 2.42 — the balance of chances actually favoured Grobina.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina?

BFC Daugavpils 2-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 39%, draw 32%, Grobina 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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