Metta / LU Riga 2-0 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 16 Mar 2024

Metta / LU Riga
2-0 HT 1-0
Liepaja
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2024

Metta / LU Riga vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metta / LU Riga v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.10/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.14
+11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
21.3 Crosses 22.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Metta / LU Riga vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Liepaja
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.33 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
330 Passes 275
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
26.07.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
16.07.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-2 HT 1-2 Liepaja Liepaja LETK
25.06.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 3-2 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
03.05.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
31.07.2022 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-2 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET

Metta / LU Riga 2-0 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
2-0
AWAY Liepaja
1.19 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
456 Passes 341
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga got the better of Liepaja 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 56% of the ball to Liepaja's 44%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.19 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 1.67 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Liepaja?

Metta / LU Riga 2-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 32%, draw 25%, Liepaja 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Liepaja) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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