Melgar 2-1 Sport Boys — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Peru - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
HomeVIEW
81%
1.25
Draw
13%
5.24
Away
6%
9.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.05
Over
57%
1.7
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
45%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1/2
0%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Melgar The Market 80%
Signal
AWAY Sport Boys The Market 10%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.51
0.73 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.25
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Average
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 73%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melgar
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sport Boys
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.69 xG 0.44
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
344 Passes 255
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-2 HT 0-2 Melgar Melgar PER
12.05.2023 Melgar Melgar 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
20.10.2022 Melgar Melgar 3-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
19.06.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Melgar Melgar PER
26.09.2021 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
10.11.2020 Melgar Melgar 4-1 HT 1-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melgar
2 - 1
AWAY Sport Boys
1.51 xG 0.43
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
161 Passes 292
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Melgar vs Sport Boys
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Melgar came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Sport Boys 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (57%) came in, no to both teams scoring (57%) didn't.

Under the surface, Melgar had 40% of the ball to Sport Boys's 60%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.51 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Melgar and 0.17 for Sport Boys.

Melgar vs Sport Boys Result & Final Score

Melgar 2 - 1 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Melgar vs Sport Boys Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Melgar 81%, draw 13%, Sport Boys 6%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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