Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Cristal v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
0-2
HT 0-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
5-2
HT 1-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
4-0
HT 2-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
Sporting Cristal 2-1 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Cristal squeezed past Alianza Atletico 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Sporting Cristal had 52% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 48%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.93 to 1.93.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sporting Cristal and 0.33 for Alianza Atletico.
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atletico?
Sporting Cristal 2-1 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atletico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 67%, draw 18%, Alianza Atletico 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.