Ajdovscina Skou 1-0 Fuzinar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.27
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.63
Over 2.5
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
74%
-18.0pp
25%
Draw
16%
+9.2pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+16.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-16.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajdovscina Skou EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuzinar EU Bookmakers 12%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
2.43/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.05
+32% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajdovscina Skou
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Fuzinar
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2023 Fuzinar Fuzinar 2-0 HT 0-0 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
26.11.2022 Fuzinar Fuzinar 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
13.08.2022 Ajdovscina Skou 1-4 HT 0-3 Fuzinar Fuzinar SLVN2
04.05.2022 Fuzinar Fuzinar 3-2 HT 2-0 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
16.10.2021 Ajdovscina Skou 3-0 HT 2-0 Fuzinar Fuzinar SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajdovscina Skou
1-0
AWAY Fuzinar
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ajdovscina Skou vs Fuzinar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajdovscina Skou edged past Fuzinar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajdovscina Skou as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ajdovscina Skou had 59% of the ball to Fuzinar's 41%, shots finished 20-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fuzinar led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Ajdovscina Skou and 2.00 for Fuzinar.

What was the final score of Ajdovscina Skou vs Fuzinar?

Ajdovscina Skou 1-0 Fuzinar in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajdovscina Skou vs Fuzinar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajdovscina Skou win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ajdovscina Skou 56%, draw 25%, Fuzinar 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajdovscina Skou), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajdovscina Skou) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
5 May 2024
18:00 Beltinci vs Ilirija Analysis →