Khonkaen Utd 2-2 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
53%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
53%
Away Win
63%
-10.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 67%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.94/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.77
-63% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +133%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
227 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
14.6 Crosses 21.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khonkaen Utd
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bangkok United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.60 xG 1.57
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
222 Passes 382
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-0 HT 1-0 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
14.11.2021 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 0-1 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khonkaen Utd
2-2
AWAY Bangkok United
1.03 xG 2.04
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 8
247 Passes 361
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Khonkaen Utd vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khonkaen Utd and Bangkok United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bangkok United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Khonkaen Utd had 42% of the ball to Bangkok United's 58%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.03 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bangkok United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Khonkaen Utd and 1.50 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Khonkaen Utd vs Bangkok United?

Khonkaen Utd 2-2 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khonkaen Utd vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Khonkaen Utd 25%, draw 22%, Bangkok United 53%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangkok United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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