Thai Port FC 2-0 Chonburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Chonburi EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.66/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.59
+5% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
23.8 Crosses 13.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Chonburi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 1.01
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
285 Passes 175
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2022 Chonburi Chonburi 1-0 HT 1-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
30.01.2022 Chonburi Chonburi 3-2 HT 2-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
31.10.2021 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
2-0
AWAY Chonburi
1.50 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
339 Passes 296
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 37
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Chonburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC beat Chonburi 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Thai Port FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 52% of the ball to Chonburi's 48%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 1.50 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chonburi led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Thai Port FC and 2.00 for Chonburi.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Chonburi?

Thai Port FC 2-0 Chonburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Chonburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 54%, draw 23%, Chonburi 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thai Port FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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