Assyriska 3-0 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +23%
1.21/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.91
-15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +57%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Vasalund IF
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-1 HT 0-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
07.04.2024 Assyriska Assyriska 2-1 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
27.08.2017 Assyriska Assyriska 4-2 HT 1-2 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
06.09.2009 Assyriska Assyriska 2-1 HT 1-1 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ2
17.05.2009 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
3-0
AWAY Vasalund IF
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Assyriska swept aside Vasalund IF 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Assyriska made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Assyriska had 44% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 56%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Assyriska had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Assyriska and 1.20 for Vasalund IF.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs Vasalund IF?

Assyriska 3-0 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 35%, draw 25%, Vasalund IF 40%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
5 May 2025
20:00 BK Olympic vs Rosengard Analysis →