Assyriska 2-1 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.97
Over 2.5
59%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.75
No
38%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.9pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 57%
+63% / +63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
2.34/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.88
+110% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -47%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Vasalund IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.08.2017 Assyriska Assyriska 4-2 HT 1-2 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
06.09.2009 Assyriska Assyriska 2-1 HT 1-1 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ2
17.05.2009 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
2-1
AWAY Vasalund IF
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Assyriska nicked a narrow win over Vasalund IF 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vasalund IF at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Assyriska had 39% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 61%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Assyriska had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Assyriska and 1.00 for Vasalund IF.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs Vasalund IF?

Assyriska 2-1 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 28%, draw 27%, Vasalund IF 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vasalund IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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