Umea FC 1-0 Örebro Syrianska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-12.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+10.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro Syrianska EU Bookmakers 23%
-15% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.91/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.02
-14% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Örebro Syrianska
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Örebro Syrianska Örebro Syrianska İSÇ3
02.04.2023 Örebro Syrianska Örebro Syrianska 1-0 HT 0-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
06.11.2022 Örebro Syrianska Örebro Syrianska 1-1 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
14.05.2022 Umea FC Umea FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Örebro Syrianska Örebro Syrianska İSÇ3
12.09.2021 Umea FC Umea FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Örebro Syrianska Örebro Syrianska İSÇ3
12.06.2021 Örebro Syrianska Örebro Syrianska 1-2 HT 0-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umea FC
1-0
AWAY Örebro Syrianska
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs Örebro Syrianska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC edged past Örebro Syrianska 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Umea FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Umea FC had 49% of the ball to Örebro Syrianska's 51%, shots finished 15-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örebro Syrianska led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Umea FC and 1.67 for Örebro Syrianska.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs Örebro Syrianska?

Umea FC 1-0 Örebro Syrianska in the Sweden - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Örebro Syrianska?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 45%, draw 25%, Örebro Syrianska 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umea FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Umea FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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