Karlbergs BK 1-0 Pitea IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +96%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
295 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlbergs BK
1-0
AWAY Pitea IF
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karlbergs BK vs Pitea IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK squeezed past Pitea IF 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karlbergs BK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Karlbergs BK had 49% of the ball to Pitea IF's 51%, shots finished 12-18.

What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs Pitea IF?

Karlbergs BK 1-0 Pitea IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs Pitea IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlbergs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 41%, draw 27%, Pitea IF 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlbergs BK) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karlbergs BK) ✗ Over 2.5
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