Malmö FF 1-2 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 May 2025

Malmö FF
1-2 HT 0-0
Brommapojkarna
📅05/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Malmö FF vs Brommapojkarna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
8.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.7
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
17.6
X/1
22%
3.98
X/2
7%
14.55
X/X
8%
6.96
2/1
9%
21.1
2/2
6%
11.9
2/X
6%
20.25
Value flag · 1/X at 17.6 — our 12% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malmö FF v Brommapojkarna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.74/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.39
+4% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.5 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Malmö FF vs Brommapojkarna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.27
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
528 Passes 228
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 2-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
01.06.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-2 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
02.10.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
08.04.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-2 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
02.09.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-3 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
23.04.2018 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ

Malmö FF 1-2 Brommapojkarna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
1-2
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.18 xG 1.99
65% Ball Possession 35%
27 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
485 Passes 221
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
70 Box Touches 24
35 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna edged past Malmö FF 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Malmö FF carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 65% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 35%, shots finished 27-14, expected goals 2.18 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Malmö FF and 1.00 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Brommapojkarna?

Malmö FF 1-2 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 56%, draw 26%, Brommapojkarna 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Malmö FF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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