Elfsborg 2-0 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 May 2025

Elfsborg
2-0 HT 1-0
GAIS
📅05/05/2025 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Elfsborg vs GAIS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.29
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
15%
5.2
X/2
6%
6.35
X/X
15%
4.73
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
17%
4.48
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elfsborg v GAIS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.60/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.22
+56% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
22.7 Crosses 21.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Elfsborg vs GAIS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY GAIS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 0.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
253 Passes 416
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-1 HT 2-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
19.05.2024 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 2-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
18.02.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
19.02.2018 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-3 HT 2-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
17.03.2013 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
07.10.2012 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ

Elfsborg 2-0 GAIS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
2-0
AWAY GAIS
0.71 xG 1.54
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 10
256 Passes 502
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg got the better of GAIS 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Elfsborg had 37% of the ball to GAIS's 63%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.71 to 1.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured GAIS.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Elfsborg and 1.33 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs GAIS?

Elfsborg 2-0 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 41%, draw 29%, GAIS 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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