GAIS 2-1 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 30% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.45
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
11%
6.56
X/2
13%
4.92
X/X
13%
5.02
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
18%
2.98
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
2.06/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.98
+12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
23.3 Crosses 18.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
19.02.2018 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-3 HT 2-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
17.03.2013 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
07.10.2012 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
26.04.2012 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-1 HT 1-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
12.09.2011 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-3 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
2-1
AWAY Elfsborg
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS squeezed past Elfsborg 2-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; GAIS found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, GAIS had 51% of the ball to Elfsborg's 49%, shots finished 5-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for GAIS and 2.00 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Elfsborg?

GAIS 2-1 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split GAIS 34%, draw 30%, Elfsborg 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ Under 2.5
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