Brommapojkarna 2-1 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.47
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
22%
4.55
X/2
7%
8.07
X/X
7%
5.4
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
10%
5.49
2/X
8%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.62/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.55
+30% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
29.1 Crosses 17.7
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Norrköping
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.28 xG 1.51
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
343 Passes 382
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-2 HT 0-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
03.06.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
31.10.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
02.04.2018 Norrköping Norrköping 2-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
19.03.2017 Norrköping Norrköping 4-0 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇK
15.09.2014 Norrköping Norrköping 3-1 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
2-1
AWAY Norrköping
0.68 xG 0.78
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
335 Passes 471
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna edged past Norrköping 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brommapojkarna as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 42% of the ball to Norrköping's 58%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.68 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norrköping led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brommapojkarna and 2.00 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs Norrköping?

Brommapojkarna 2-1 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 52%, draw 22%, Norrköping 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brommapojkarna), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brommapojkarna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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