IFK Varnamo 0-2 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 May 2024

IFK Varnamo
0-2 HT 0-2
Kalmar
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IFK Varnamo vs Kalmar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
11%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 32% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.95
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
13%
4.66
X/2
11%
6.74
X/X
12%
4.48
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.96
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Varnamo v Kalmar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.19/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.36
-38% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.2 Crosses 16.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

IFK Varnamo vs Kalmar Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Kalmar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.15 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
405 Passes 508
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 1-3 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
22.05.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
15.10.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-3 HT 1-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
27.06.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
20.02.2016 Kalmar Kalmar 2-1 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK

IFK Varnamo 0-2 Kalmar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
0-2
AWAY Kalmar
0.82 xG 1.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
358 Passes 420
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
32 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar saw off IFK Varnamo 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Varnamo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 47% of the ball to Kalmar's 53%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.82 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kalmar led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.60 for Kalmar.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Kalmar?

IFK Varnamo 0-2 Kalmar in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 42%, draw 25%, Kalmar 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (IFK Varnamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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