Hammarby 2-1 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 May 2024

Hammarby
2-1 HT 0-0
AIK
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Hammarby vs AIK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 30% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.82
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
6%
12.0
X/1
16%
6.05
X/2
15%
5.68
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
15%
3.49
2/X
6%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.1pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hammarby v AIK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.58/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.33
+55% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
16.6 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Hammarby vs AIK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
3W-2D-1L
AWAY AIK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.41
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
430 Passes 303
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 4-2 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
16.04.2023 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
13.03.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇK
28.08.2022 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 1-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
15.05.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 3-3 HT 2-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
17.10.2021 Hammarby Hammarby 1-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ

Hammarby 2-1 AIK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
2-1
AWAY AIK
0.92 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
480 Passes 326
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby edged past AIK 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hammarby found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hammarby had 58% of the ball to AIK's 42%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.92 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hammarby and 1.67 for AIK.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs AIK?

Hammarby 2-1 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 40%, draw 25%, AIK 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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