Elfsborg 2-0 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.18
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
16%
6.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 25%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.28/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.37
+17% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY GAIS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
19.02.2018 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-3 HT 2-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
17.03.2013 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
07.10.2012 GAIS GAIS 1-2 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
26.04.2012 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-1 HT 1-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
12.09.2011 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-3 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
29.04.2011 GAIS GAIS 0-2 HT 0-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
2-0
AWAY GAIS
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg saw off GAIS 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elfsborg had 46% of the ball to GAIS's 54%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Elfsborg and 1.50 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs GAIS?

Elfsborg 2-0 GAIS in the Sweden - Cup on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 51%, draw 27%, GAIS 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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