IFK Varnamo 2-0 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 18 Feb 2024

IFK Varnamo
2-0 HT 0-0
Trelleborgs FF
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Sweden - Cup – 2023/2024

IFK Varnamo vs Trelleborgs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
30%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
66%
-19.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
30%
Away Win
14%
+15.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Varnamo v Trelleborgs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 17%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.48
-53% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

IFK Varnamo vs Trelleborgs FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.09.2021 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-3 HT 0-2 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
13.06.2021 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
27.01.2018 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 3-1 HT 2-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo HAZ
29.07.2017 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
02.05.2017 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-4 HT 0-2 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
27.09.2016 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-2 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2

IFK Varnamo 2-0 Trelleborgs FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
2-0
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo saw off Trelleborgs FF 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had IFK Varnamo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 65% of the ball to Trelleborgs FF's 35%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IFK Varnamo and 2.33 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Trelleborgs FF?

IFK Varnamo 2-0 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Cup on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 46%, draw 23%, Trelleborgs FF 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Varnamo) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✗ Over 2.5
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