Degerfors 5-0 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.4pp
20%
Draw
27%
-6.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
2.00/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.90/0.96
+20% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / +64%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Örgryte
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
21.10.2020 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
24.07.2020 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
22.10.2019 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
20.04.2019 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
09.10.2018 Örgryte Örgryte 2-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
05.05.2018 Degerfors Degerfors 0-1 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
5-0
AWAY Örgryte
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors cruised past Örgryte 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Degerfors as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Degerfors had 52% of the ball to Örgryte's 48%, shots finished 22-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örgryte led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Degerfors and 1.17 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs Örgryte?

Degerfors 5-0 Örgryte in the Sweden - Cup on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 46%, draw 20%, Örgryte 33%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Degerfors), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Degerfors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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