CD Castellon vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CD Castellon v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
CD Castellon vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-2
HT 0-1
CD Castellon
İS2
2-2
HT 1-1
CD Castellon
İS2
CD Castellon 4-3 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
CD Castellon nicked a narrow win over Sporting Gijon 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CD Castellon had 52% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 48%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 2.22 to 2.95 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sporting Gijon.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Castellon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Castellon and 0.83 for Sporting Gijon.
What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Sporting Gijon?
CD Castellon 4-3 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Sporting Gijon?
Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 48%, draw 27%, Sporting Gijon 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.