Fiorentina U20 4-1 Genoa U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.40/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.05
+29% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +61%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Genoa U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2024 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 3-2 HT 0-1 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Genoa U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 cruised past Genoa U20 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Genoa U20?

Fiorentina U20 4-1 Genoa U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Genoa U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 49%, draw 26%, Genoa U20 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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