Audax Italiano 2-1 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.46/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.40
-15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
21.4 Crosses 14.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
5W-0D-1L
AWAY La Serena
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
259 Passes 304
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 3-0 HT 2-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
28.05.2022 La Serena La Serena 3-2 HT 2-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
26.08.2021 La Serena La Serena 0-2 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
31.03.2021 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
15.02.2021 La Serena La Serena 0-2 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
10.09.2020 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 2-1 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
2-1
AWAY La Serena
2.22 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
251 Passes 297
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano squeezed past La Serena 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Audax Italiano as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 49% of the ball to La Serena's 51%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 2.22 to 0.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Audax Italiano's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audax Italiano had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Audax Italiano and 0.83 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs La Serena?

Audax Italiano 2-1 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 51%, draw 25%, La Serena 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audax Italiano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audax Italiano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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