Nublense 1-1 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
1.40/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.29
-4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.6 Crosses 16.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 0.97
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
368 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Nublense Nublense 0-1 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
05.05.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
15.08.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
27.02.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
11.07.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-2 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
16.03.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
1-1
AWAY Union La Calera
2.00 xG 1.49
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
385 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nublense and Union La Calera couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nublense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Nublense had 57% of the ball to Union La Calera's 43%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.00 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nublense and 1.50 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Union La Calera?

Nublense 1-1 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nublense 44%, draw 30%, Union La Calera 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nublense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nublense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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