Nublense 0-1 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nublense EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +21%
1.39/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.25
+11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 70%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
16.9 Crosses 15.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nublense
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 0.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
372 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
15.08.2023 Nublense Nublense 1-1 HT 1-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
27.02.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-1 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
11.07.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-2 HT 1-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
16.03.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-1 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense CSA
09.03.2022 Nublense Nublense 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nublense
0-1
AWAY Union La Calera
1.44 xG 0.78
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
348 Passes 178
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nublense vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union La Calera nicked a narrow win over Nublense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nublense at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Nublense had 63% of the ball to Union La Calera's 37%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.44 to 0.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nublense.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union La Calera led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nublense and 1.33 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Nublense vs Union La Calera?

Nublense 0-1 Union La Calera in the Chile - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nublense vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nublense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nublense 48%, draw 26%, Union La Calera 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nublense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nublense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞİL More Chile - Premier League
29 Sep 2024
02:00 Colo Colo vs Cobresal Analysis →
21:00 Copiapo vs Palestino Analysis →
23:30 Deportes Iquique vs Universidad Chile Analysis →