Deportes Iquique 3-0 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 52%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.31/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.26
-3% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.2 Crosses 21.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Iquique
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Universidad Chile
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 1.60
44% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
214 Passes 299
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
25.01.2021 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-2 HT 1-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
10.09.2020 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-2 HT 0-2 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
18.10.2019 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
26.05.2019 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-4 HT 1-2 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
25.11.2018 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Iquique
3-0
AWAY Universidad Chile
0.60 xG 0.52
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
133 Passes 363
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportes Iquique vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Iquique swept aside Universidad Chile 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Universidad Chile at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportes Iquique had 33% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 67%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.60 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportes Iquique and 2.00 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Deportes Iquique vs Universidad Chile?

Deportes Iquique 3-0 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Iquique vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportes Iquique 31%, draw 27%, Universidad Chile 42%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Chile)
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